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Articles & Contributions from Members & Partners



Xi’s world: Covid has accelerated China’s rise

This article appears by kind permission from the Spectator where it was first published. Back in February, the Chinese state appeared to be in trouble. A terrifying virus had infected thousands of people and the country’s social media exploded in anger against the authorities faster than Chinese censors could scrub away the critical comments. Like…

The Logic of Sino-Western Détente

Jim O’Neill – Project Syndicate It might be cathartic to opine noisily about another country’s standards and practices, but there is substantial historical evidence to suggest that a country’s citizens will tend to value economic opportunity over most other issues. That axiom applies as much to the US, the UK, and Europe as it does…

Taxing financial winners from coronavirus to pay for the crisis – lessons from WW1

Janette Rutterford, The Open University The enormous impact of COVID-19 on the world has drawn comparisons with the first world war. Historian Niall Ferguson, for example, points to the financial panic, global reach, economic dislocation and popular alarm of both crises. Both events have cost the UK enormous sums, driving government debt today to over…

Climate math: What a 1.5-degree pathway would take

Kimberly Henderson, Dickon Pinner, Matt Rogers, Bram Smeets, Christer Tryggestad and Daniela Vargas – McKinsey & Company Decarbonizing global business at scale is achievable, but the math is daunting. Amid the coronavirus pandemic, everyone is rightly focused on protecting lives and livelihoods. Can we simultaneously strive to avoid the next crisis? The answer is yes—if…

Lessons from the gig economy for transforming public services

Ursula Huws, University of Hertfordshire Even before the arrival of the coronavirus pandemic, major upheavals were taking place in the UK labour market. Between 2016 and 2019, the number of people working for online platforms such as Deliveroo and TaskRabbit doubled from 4.7% of the adult population to 9.6% – the equivalent of 5.5 million…

An experiment to inform universal basic income

Tera Allas, Jukka Maksimainen, James Manyika and Navjot Singh – McKinsey & Company As income inequality and economic upheaval features more in society, is a guaranteed minimum income worth considering? Results from a two-year experiment in Finland offer clues about the concept of a universal basic income. Globalisation, automation, and the rise in the cost of necessities were increasing pressure on social contracts pre COVID,…

COVID-19: Implications for business

No nation has escaped widespread disruption from the COVID-19 pandemic, but some have fared better than others. This McKinsey & Company report examines the state of the recovery in some of the emerging Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries—Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam—that began the crisis at a disadvantage and have suffered disproportionate effects.…

Turkey’s Black Sea Natural Gas Find is No Economic Miracle

Stephen Blank – CG Policy Turkey’s announcement of a large natural gas find in the Black Sea, demonstrates it aspiration to become a major player in the energy sphere. But the discovery is insufficient for the country to become energy independent, and other constraints mean it is unlikely to stop its aggressive foreign policy moves.…

Blossom Festival

The Japan Shinzo Abe Has Left Behind

By BILL EMMOTT originally published in Project Syndicate This article by Bill Emmott considers Japan with the departure of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. By leaving office now, as modern Japan’s longest-serving prime minister, Shinzo Abe will set the terms of his departure instead of allowing dagger-wielding rivals to do it for him. He will leave…